Labor Day weekend 2019

Prediction scorecard
The note's Friday-afternoon calls vs. what the weekend actually did. Actuals verified against published domestic box-office results.
2 near 1 miss
Week-2 films (formula)
The call
'Down about 50% for the 3 day'
Actual
Angel Has Fallen -45%; Overcomer -30%
Near
Week-3+ films (formula)
The call
'Down 35 or 40%'
Actual
Good Boys -18%, Lion King -14%, Hobbs & Shaw -20%; everything held far better
Miss
The garbage-disposal weekend taught the supply lesson: no new films, no normal decay.
Don't Let Go (opening)
The call
'About $3 million in 3 days'
Actual
$2.3M
Near