Fourth weekend of August 2019
There wasn’t much new (or good) opening this week last year, so with a well placed sequel we’ve got a decent shot at being about even in the year to year comp derby. So, with the accuracy and quality normally associated with a CFL groundskeeping crew, here’s my best take on the weekend box-office.
#1 Angel has Fallen - Yes, there’s still a decent amount of fan-ship for this series, especially in the fly over states. Right now it looks a little better than last night’s preview gross would predict, figure it’s in the very high teens with a decent shot at a head-shavingly good 20/low 20’s.
#2 Good Boys - Looks pretty normal right now, but since the box office menu is a little short on comedy right now, even though the exits were good not great this might show some legs this weekend. But for now let’s figure a standard 50% drop and a weekend just above 10.
#3 - #6 There’s a cluster of films that all look like they’re between 6 and 7 for the weekend, I’m not sure what order they’re going to end up in, but here they are in alphabetical order:
- Hobbs & Shaw - Figure down about 45%
- Overcomer - It’s hard to say where these religious movies are gonna go, since sometimes it’s all presales and they don’t grow.
- *Ready or Not *- Right now it looks consistent with the weekdays, since the exits were nothing special I’m not sure they accomplished anything with the weekday opening.
- The Lion King - Actually might be the best of the bunch, and has the best chance of doing a little more than 7.
The Peanut Butter Falcon - Expanded to 1000 runs today, although you would think the 47 runs they were in last week would be enough to service the moviegoers who don’t hate Shia LeBeouf. However, this movie does have a special needs component so maybe that’s what they are going for, although in a Venn diagram the two circles have a lot of commonality. Figure they’re good for about $1.5 million or so.
Brittany Runs a Marathon - Amazon’s Sundance pickup looks pretty good so far. They went exclusive NY/LA in the classic 4 plus the UES. The Cinema 1 is a little behind the others right now, but overall it’s pretty good. Figure a PSA in the low/mid 20’s.