The Boy and the Heron

In the note We told you this would be a pretty quiet week at the box-office, but similar to the way the box-office has been all year, it’s a little better than normal because we’re getting revenue from new sources. The Fall has been propped up by TAYLOR and BEYONCE, Apple has contributed significantly this Fall (and may have themselves a Best Picture contender because they leaned into theatrical) and now we have a weekend that’s going to be up a decent margin from last year because of…….Japan (more on that below). Last year we had no new wide releases, but some strong holds were propping up the box-office with Black Panther and the 2nd weekend of Violent Night. Looking back on 2019, this is a tough weekend to comp, since there were only 3 weekends between Thanksgiving and Christmas instead of the 4 we have this year. So the 2019 2nd weekend in December is probably closer to next weekend’s films (Jumanji: The Next Level showed what a Jumanji movie could open to without a Star Wars movie against it at $59.3 million, plus Richard Jewell and Black Christmas opened), and clearly we’ll be way behind that total. However, next weekend we’ll start seeing some nice grosses and the fun begins. Anyway, with the same accuracy and efficacy as a fruit inventory in space, here are some thoughts on the weekend box-office. It could be a tight race for #1 this weekend, there are 4 films that all could end up claiming the crown, but this is my best guess what order they’re going to come in at based on the numbers I’m looking at now. Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes - Continuing to leg out based on good word of mouth (it’s amazing how many of my civilian friends go out of their way to tell me how much they love this film), looks like it’s going to be down about 35% for a weekend just short of $10 million. The Boy and the Heron - There’s a lot of really good things about this opening.

The Boy and the Heron

Where it turns up