Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Superhero & Comic Disney PG-13 2h 41m Released Nov 11, 2022 Discussed 2022–2024
Opening weekend
$181.3M
4,396 theaters
Per-theater average
$41,251
opening weekend
Domestic total
$453.8M
2.5× its opening
Worldwide total
$859.2M
53% domestic
Production budget
$250.0M
3.4× worldwide
RT critics
84%
RT audience
93%
+9 vs critics
Metacritic
67
Where it turns up
Friday, November 11, 2022 Wakanda Forever weekend 2022
On the chart Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (opening): $181.3M
Expected 'Just as a hipshot, this looks like about 180 to me': with the first film's freak inertia and the Veterans Day calendar priced in Actual: $181.3M
In the note
I’m not sure we’d be where we are today without that Dec thru April period of WB’s 202/2021 slate, the exhibitors might not have been able to stay open, so (as I’ve said here before) it might have saved the theatrical sector. Anyway, with the expected accuracy and foresight of the long term naming rights deals for FTX and Crypto.com, here are some thoughts on the weekend box office. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - First thing’s first, this is gonna be awesome this weekend.
Friday, November 18, 2022 Third weekend of November 2022
On the chart Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (wk 2): $66.5M, -63%
Expected 'Figure it's down about 65% for a weekend in the mid 60's' Actual: $66.5M, -63%
In the note
As you see the reviews drop next month, you'll probably be able to figure out which side of the love/hate fence each critic sits on. Anyway, based on something I heard in a Spanish Class with the LA Rams Offensive Line and the only thing they learned was Ole!, here are some thoughts on the weekend box office. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - Obviously it's going to win this weekend (and the next, and the next, and the next) easily, but looking at the 2nd Friday for the November Marvels and Black Panther 1, this looks a little less resilient.
Friday, December 16, 2022 Avatar: The Way of Water weekend 2022
On the chart Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (wk 6): $5.3M, -52%
Friday, December 30, 2022 New Year's weekend 2022
On the chart Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (wk 8): $5.1M, +47%
Expected 'Up 50% or more for a weekend of 4 or 5 million' Actual: $5.1M, +47%
In the note
Figure it’s up 30% from last weekend for a 3 day of in the mid high teens, and a 4 day around 20. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - I haven’t seen a lot of stories written about how this film really stretched its legs over the holiday period, but it’s having another great day today.
Friday, February 17, 2023 Presidents Day weekend 2023
In the note
If you look at the grosses today using Black Panther Wakanda or Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness to project the gross, it’s a little less than half of both of them (which is consistent with last night's preview gross) so it’s saying about $90 million in 3 and about $110 in 4.
Thursday, November 23, 2023 Thanksgiving 2023
In the note
We should be a decent amount ahead of 2022 (Strange World and Devotion, but also had Black Panther 2 still doing $50 million in 3), but we’ll be behind 2019 (Knives Out and Queen & Slim, but also Frozen 2 in it’s 2nd weekend doing $86 million in 3). However, we have an unusual amount of wide movies next weekend (it’s usually a weekend that no one releases anything of note), so December should start a lot higher than it traditionally goes. Just like everything else this weekend, the ‘money day’ is Black Friday, and in this sector that’s usually when the playability of each title kicks in.
Friday, December 8, 2023 Second weekend of December 2023
In the note
Last year we had no new wide releases, but some strong holds were propping up the box-office with Black Panther and the 2nd weekend of Violent Night. Looking back on 2019, this is a tough weekend to comp, since there were only 3 weekends between Thanksgiving and Christmas instead of the 4 we have this year.
Friday, February 16, 2024 Presidents Day weekend 2024
In the note
The last time we had a Wednesday Valentine’s Day was in 2019, and Black Panther chose to open on Friday instead of Valentine's Day Wednesday; before that it was 2007 (due to leap years), and although three films opened on Valentine’s Day, that might as well be the 19th century, so the data there doesn’t help.